Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2021-000056-IND
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.4 m (18 May 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 17 May 2021 12:00 - 18 May 2021 12:00 in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	2.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	222 km/h	2.4 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 11.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	204	44.6 million	4.1 million	India, Pakistan
2	14 May 2021 12:00	204	54.3 million	4.9 million	India, Pakistan
3	14 May 2021 18:00	204	35.5 million	3.7 million	India, Pakistan
4	15 May 2021 00:00	167	43.5 million	1.4 million	India, Pakistan
5	15 May 2021 06:00	194	69.5 million	7.5 million	India, Pakistan
6	15 May 2021 12:00	194	60.8 million	11.4 million	India, Pakistan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	11.6, 72.1
2	14 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.5 million people	11.9, 72.2
3	14 May 2021 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	1.7 million people	12.1, 72.3
4	15 May 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.5 million people	12.6, 72.4
5	15 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	10.1 million people	13.5, 73.3
6	15 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	10.7 million people	14.4, 72.9
6	16 May 2021 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	7.5 million people	15.6, 72.3
6	16 May 2021 12:00	Category 2	157	no people	5.6 million people	16.8, 71.6
6	17 May 2021 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	8.3 million people	18.5, 70.6
6	17 May 2021 12:00	Category 3	194	7 million people	18.8 million people	19.7, 70.1
6	18 May 2021 12:00	Category 2	157	7.1 million people	32.9 million people	22.6, 70	India
6	19 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	15.8 million people	25.7, 72.1	India
6	20 May 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.8, 74.3	India

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Pakistan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Gujarat	India
Rajasthan	India
Sind	Pakistan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Veraval	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Mangrol	Gujarat	India	City	56000 people
Junagadh	Gujarat	India	City	170000 people
Jetpur	Gujarat	India	City	120000 people
Dhoraji	Gujarat	India	City	81000 people
Upleta	Gujarat	India	City	56000 people
Porbandar	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Jamnagar	Gujarat	India	City	450000 people
Gandhi Dam	Gujarat	India	City	-
Bhuj	Gujarat	India	City	130000 people
Balotra	Rajasthan	India	City	62000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Keshod	IXK	52	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Porbandar	PBD	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Govardhanpur	JGA	21	Mil.	Paved	No	8200
Kandla	IXY	29	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Rudra Mata	BHJ	82	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Muldwarka		India
Veraval	INVVA	India
Mangrol	INMGR	India
Porbandar	INPBD	India
Sika	INSIK	India
Sikka	INSIK	India
Bedi	INBED	India
Vadinar	INVAD	India
Hanstal Creek		India
Navalakhi	INNAV	India
Mundra	INMUN	India
Kandla	INIXY	India
Mandvi	INMDV	India

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

2.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.5m in Navlakhi, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (214 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 15 May 2021 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 18:00	Navlakhi	India	2.5
	18 May 2021 16:00	Tuna	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mangrol	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 16:00	Jambura	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 16:00	Jodiya	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 03:00	Wadgam	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 03:00	Asarsa	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Shil	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Tankari	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 23:00	Chorwad	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Muler	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Kambhat	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Kavi	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Sarod	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 02:00	Harinagar	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 01:00	Ghogha	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 21:00	Mahuva	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 01:00	Dahej	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 21:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 22:00	Somnath	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 23:00	Veraval	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 22:00	Sutrapada	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 01:00	Olpad	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:00	Rohisa	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 20:00	Dharabandar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 21:00	Jafarabad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 22:00	Lodhwa	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 01:00	Surat	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 23:00	Kotada	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:00	Delvada	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:00	Nawabandar	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mahuver	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jalalpur	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 01:00	Bhagva	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Damka	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:00	Kodinar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 12:00	Sika	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 20:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 02:00	Gorser	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 18:00	Jhankhar	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 18:00	Salaya	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 18:00	Navinal	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Udvada	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Daman	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Bordi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Umbargam	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Maroli	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 22:00	Gholvad	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 03:00	Ratia	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Tarapur	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Malyan	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 19:00	Bhadia	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 16:00	Belekeri	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 16:00	Ankola	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 19:00	Chudeswar	India	0.6
	15 May 2021 12:00	Bhatkal	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Shirgaon	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Boisar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Vengurla	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 20:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 20:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Marmagao	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 20:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 18:00	Advota	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 18:00	Chaudi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 21:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Vasai	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Dongri	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 19:00	Mundra	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Mumbai	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 23:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:00	Trombay	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 23:00	Navghar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Agacaim	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 17:00	Karwar	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Ammapatam	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 05:00	Adodar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 15:00	Gokarn	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 15:00	Kumta	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Malad	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 13:00	Shirali	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Uran	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 18:00	Majali	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 18:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:00	Bainduru	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 19:00	Mandvi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 18:00	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 13:00	Honavar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 13:00	Manki	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 13:00	Mavalli	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 21:00	Bankot	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 21:00	Kelshi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 07:00	Devgarh	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 03:00	Terekhol	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 03:00	Chopdem	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 13:00	Chittadi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Mandve	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 04:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:00	Kundapura	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 06:00	Porbandar	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 06:00	Murud	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 08:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 08:00	Pural	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 03:00	Anjuna	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 06:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 19:00	Dwarka	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 00:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 07:00	Achra	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 15:00	Mirya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 15:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 22:00	Madgaon	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 19:00	Aramda	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 15:00	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 18:00	Alleppey	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 13:00	Purnagad	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 02:00	Panaji	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 11:00	Udipi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 19:00	Gadechi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 19:00	Okha	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 17:00	Boria	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 07:00	Malvan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 13:00	Purangad	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 10:00	Mulki	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Quilandi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:00	Mattancheri	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 12:00	Tondi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 19:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 19:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Mahe	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Karaikal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Accarapatam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 08:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Payyoli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Talikkulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Idaikkadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 07:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 07:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Cannanore	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 12:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Ponnani	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kayankulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 14:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 14:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Haripad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 11:00	Kankesanturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Irumeni	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:00	Turavur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 19:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Quilon	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Periathullay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:00	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 14:00	Bhogat	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Anjengo	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 13:00	Thiruvananthapuram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Vilinjam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Puvar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.